{"id":35526,"date":"2023-03-20T22:34:53","date_gmt":"2023-03-20T22:34:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/?p=35526"},"modified":"2023-03-20T22:34:57","modified_gmt":"2023-03-20T22:34:57","slug":"energy-transition-technologies-deficiencies-of-the-japan-led-guidelines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/energy-transition-technologies-deficiencies-of-the-japan-led-guidelines\/","title":{"rendered":"Energy Transition Technologies: Deficiencies of the Japan-led Guidelines"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div>\n<p>The newly introduced transition finance guidelines for Asian countries focus extensively on <strong>energy transition technologies<\/strong> with questionable efficiency on cost decarbonisation. At the same time, they don\u2019t pay the needed attention to renewables and energy system. Banks and countries that follow the guidelines blindly without considering their unique use cases risk delaying and derailing their net-zero journeys.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-banking-on-transition-technologies-report-examining-asia-s-new-transition-finance-guidelines\"><strong>The&nbsp;&#8216;Banking on Transition Technologies&#8217;&nbsp;Report: Examining Asia\u2019s New Transition Finance Guidelines<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>September 2022 saw the publishing of two transition finance documents: the Asia Transition Finance (ATF) Guidelines by the Asia Transition Finance Study Group, a part of a Japan-led initiative, and the Technology List and Perspectives for Transition Finance in Asia by the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/asiareengage.com\/banking-on-transition-technologies-beware-of-lock-in-traps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Banking on Transition Technologies: Beware of Lock-in Traps<\/a>&nbsp;report by the Asia Research and Engagement (ARE) initiative analyses the guidelines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While mostly agreeing with the proposals, the authors note that Japanese energy policies largely influence the guidelines. Due to this, they now reflect the Japanese authorities\u2019 obsession with questionable <em>energy transition technologies<\/em> like carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) and ammonia co-firing across the power sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report warns that the guidelines&nbsp;\u201cmay be inappropriate for countries in Southeast Asia where the circumstances differ from Japan\u201d&nbsp;and where investing in renewable energy sources is viable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ARE\u2019s report cautions Asian banks from blindly following the guidelines. It also highlights the importance of avoiding the financial risks that might stem from it.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-guideline-loopholes-and-the-risks-of-proposed-energy-transition-technologies\"><strong>Guideline Loopholes and the Risks of Proposed Energy Transition Technologies<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The main issue with the new transition finance guidelines stems from the technology list published by the ERIA. It promotes using energy transition technologies like CCUS and the co-firing of ammonia for the power sector, based on Japan\u2019s strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, the report\u2019s authors recognise this as the guidelines\u2019 main weak point due to two main reasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-1-the-failure-to-account-for-other-countries-circumstances\"><strong>1. The<\/strong> <strong>Failure to Account For Other Countries\u2019 Circumstances&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Southeast Asian countries all have their own unique situations. As a result, using the same guidelines as Japan for these nations does not address each country&#8217;s needs in a specific manner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>For example, Japan\u2019s officials often cite energy security and diversity as a reason to invest in ammonia co-firing capacity. Currently, the country has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.enerdata.net\/estore\/energy-market\/japan.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a very low<\/a>&nbsp;energy independence score. It relies on imports to meet&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S2352484718302671\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">nearly 96%<\/a>&nbsp;of its energy needs.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<div id=\"article-list-block_970ff4d18125888aecd55d8bc5b1a6fb\" class=\"article-list\">\n    <div class=\"d-flex flex-column justify-content-start align-items-start\">\n        <div class=\"list-title\">\n            <h4>Related Articles<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"list-blog\">\n            <ul>\n            <li><a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/accelerating-japan-energy-transition\/\">Accelerating Japan&#8217;s Energy Transition: A Possible and Much-Needed Mission<\/a><\/li>\n            <li><a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/are-largest-japanese-companies-living-up-to-their-climate-commitments\/\">Are Large Japanese Companies Living Up to their Climate Commitments in 2022?<\/a><\/li>\n            <li><a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/companies-funding-russian-war\/\">&#8220;Companies Funding Russian War&#8221; &#8211;  CREA\u2019s 2022 Report Exposes<\/a><\/li>\n            <\/ul>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <style type=\"text\/css\">\n        #article-list-block_970ff4d18125888aecd55d8bc5b1a6fb {\n        }\n        .article-list{\n            background-color: #f4f4f4;\n            border-top: 5px solid #FCDA64;\n            padding: 1em;\n            margin: 2em 0;\n        }\n        .wp-block-column .article-list{\n            margin: 0;\n        }\n        .list-blog ul{\n            padding: 0;\n            padding-left: 1.5rem;\n        }\n        .list-blog ul li a{\n            color: #222222;\n        }\n        .list-blog ul li::marker{\n            \/*font-size: 0.8rem;*\/\n        }\n        @media (max-width: 600px){\n            .wp-block-column .article-list{\n                margin: 2em 0;\n            }\n        }\n    <\/style>\n<\/div>\n<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>However, such a strategy would further exacerbate the problem since Japan&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rechargenews.com\/energy-transition\/-crazy-wasteful-greenwash-japan-to-spend-242m-on-mixing-hydrogen-derived-ammonia-with-coal-at-power-plants\/2-1-1142134\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">plans to import<\/a>&nbsp;significant amounts of ammonia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Furthermore, as ARE&#8217;s report reveals, Japan isn\u2019t among the renewable energy champions. The country claims it has maxed out its opportunities to decarbonise through renewables. It also has among the&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/carbontracker.org\/reports\/put-a-price-on-it\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">highest construction costs<\/a>&nbsp;for renewables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, this isn\u2019t the case for many Southeast Asian countries. Most of SEA&#8217;s economies can take advantage of clean energy sources as&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/about.bnef.com\/blog\/cost-of-new-renewables-temporarily-rises-as-inflation-starts-to-bite\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the cheapest form of new power generation<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Other countries also might not face Japan\u2019s land scarcity issue and have a much higher clean energy potential. For example, Vietnam has<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mekongeye.com\/2022\/07\/04\/rising-gas-prices-hit-vietnams-lng-power-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">&nbsp;the technical potential for 600 GW<\/a>&nbsp;of wind power. It can also continue building upon its exemplary&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bnnbloomberg.ca\/as-banks-shun-coal-vietnam-emerges-an-unlikely-solar-champion-1.1606026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">solar power track record<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/asiareengage.com\/banking-on-transition-technologies-beware-of-lock-in-traps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ARE\u2019s report<\/a>&nbsp;notes that countries like Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines currently don\u2019t face the same technical challenges as Japan. Furthermore, these nations can rely on more stable energy transition networks. They can easily scale renewables by building regional interconnections to address their collective needs.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-2-promoting-energy-transition-technologies-that-risk-locking-sea-countries-into-a-fossil-fuels-future\"><strong>2. Promoting Energy Transition Technologies That Risk Locking SEA Countries Into a Fossil Fuels Future&nbsp;<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The guidelines are based on Japan\u2019s energy transition technology policies. As a result, they would project their biases and deficiencies on Southeast Asian countries\u2019 energy policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, they describe carbon capture technology as a solution for deep decarbonisation. However, they fail to properly account for the actual life cycle emissions of CCUS and ammonia co-firing technologies. Many&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/2111565\/the-problem-with-japans-plan-to-use-ammonia-in-coal-power-plants\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">analysts<\/a>&nbsp;consider the proposed technologies questionable, with limited decarbonisation benefit.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.greenpeace.org\/static\/planet4-japan-stateless\/2021\/03\/eb440b96-ammonia-co-firing-analysis_eng.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Research groups<\/a>&nbsp;have consistently questioned those energy technologies&#8217; commercial viability, effectiveness and cost competitiveness. They are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/what-is-behind-the-japan-ammonia-greenwash-accusations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">described<\/a>&nbsp;as tools for delaying rather than speeding up decarbonisation through renewables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh5.googleusercontent.com\/8mc0aXg41FKjODlcW9qg3Zv8_BBv_kjyYrhsyyVpCtPWSwKeg3NJvsssF0cfncePhyQ3_OuBa5V42NCNejU8Yj3cp9icyeSZNUUJgCXXH8X4lxHsJEWF0ForBB5XZ_F1fxNtYkPG3U5pXJ75h4YkArc\" alt=\"Emission Reduction Potential for Advanced Coal Technologies, Source: Transition Zero\"\/><figcaption>Emission Reduction Potential for Advanced Coal Technologies, Source: <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transitionzero.org\/reports\/advanced-coal-in-japan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TransitionZero<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Japan\u2019s ammonia co-firing plans go hand-in-hand with the idea of \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/what-will-it-take-for-japan-to-achieve-carbon-neutrality-by-2050\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">clean coal<\/a>\u201d. <a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/what-is-behind-the-japan-ammonia-greenwash-accusations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Experts<\/a> consider this a strategy to extend the life of its coal fleet. Meanwhile, there are solid arguments as to why such solutions are <a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/debunking-japans-clean-coal-technology-claim\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">neither cost-effective nor good for the climate<\/a>. For example, coal co-firing schemes using the cheapest ammonia source (grey) costs <a href=\"https:\/\/static1.squarespace.com\/static\/605b4bcc5526904ff5589918\/t\/62066db231110622409e34eb\/1644588483986\/TransitionZero_Coal-de-sac_Report_final_full+report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">four times more than thermal coal<\/a>. Using green ammonia is around 15 times more expensive than coal co-firing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/s-0-Un61N1KTIQL9nok0Qx0AqTcej5oFU9s3aybNj3-h0UpimwiwWz7F4BFNxeRJI8Qiut1ZdTSJ9vlXsMmG8DkSOvb_bR0wUjjb1EejP0c1k_bxFMl2_GeXEzikXOtIe1qpzxlaUH96h_sQnnQCUTs\" alt=\"LCOE For Different Power Sources in Japan in 2030, Source: TransitionZero\"\/><figcaption>LCOE For Different Power Sources in Japan in 2030, Source: <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transitionzero.org\/reports\/advanced-coal-in-japan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">TransitionZero<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Due to these factors, the methods can work only as a complementary solution to a renewables-led energy policy. However, the blind application of the proposed guidelines and the mass application of ammonia co-firing and CCUS schemes without considering each country\u2019s unique situation risk locking Southeast Asian nations into a fossil fuel future, derailing their net-zero journeys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-renewable-energy-cost\"><strong>Renewable Energy Cost<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Considering the rate at which the costs of renewables are dropping, investments in&nbsp;\u201cclean coal\u201d&nbsp;bear a massive stranded asset risk. Banks financing the energy transition infrastructure in the guidelines risk locking themselves into obsolete technologies. As a result, using these methods to align their portfolios with a net-zero pathway will be more challenging, <a href=\"https:\/\/asiareengage.com\/banking-on-transition-technologies-beware-of-lock-in-traps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ARE\u2019s report<\/a>&nbsp;warns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-southeast-asian-countries-and-financiers-can-do\"><strong>What Southeast Asian Countries and Financiers Can Do<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While the transition guidelines are a good first step for bringing Asian countries\u2019 greenhouse gas emissions down, they can be further improved by using a case-by-case approach. Southeast Asian countries and financiers can use the guidelines as a foundation that can be tailored to each country&#8217;s specifics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ARE report advises that banks should compare transition technologies with green technologies for a more holistic evaluation. According to the authors, this is an area that the guidelines lack. Furthermore, financial institutions participating in transition financing should keep in mind that the LCOE for renewables may be much more cost-effective than the CCUS or ammonia co-firing approaches favoured in Japan. The ERIA Technology List does not directly compare the LCOE for transition technologies and renewables.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh6.googleusercontent.com\/H-hFDLncS20cjeINajT7NPECQt_IcmFVeMl_1o1xrnTwWJknTztMWN6nTSIQ-X3jGPq-St01q1bRnpfMKwlRvsAL7r4VL-WGIDiJcC7YxFBnwqCLjprJ-T0a0Qnc5VkWj0DjCy4ZO3hOtk-1jo8xPcQ\" alt=\"APAC Average LCOE For Low-Carbon Power-Generation Options, Source: Wood Mac\"\/><figcaption>APAC Average LCOE For Low-Carbon Power-Generation Options, Source: <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodmac.com\/press-releases\/renewable-power-in-asia-pacific-gains-competitiveness-amidst-cost-inflation\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Wood Mac<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Due to cost and efficiency constraints, ARE\u2019s report recommends limiting the financing for CCUS and ammonia co-firing only to hard-to-abate sectors. Examples include the cement and steel industries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The proposed guidelines advise banks to follow country or sector pathways or, in the absence of such, the pathways of organisations like IEA and NGFS. However, ARE\u2019s report goes a step further. The authors advise banks to develop robust internal underwriting standards for financing energy transition technologies. These standards should consider each unique country\u2019s economic, policy and technological circumstances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-need-for-a-country-specific-approach\"><strong>The Need for a Country-specific Approach<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The ERIA Technology List suggests banks should invest in ammonia co-firing and CCUS in the power sector to ensure&nbsp;\u201ca just and orderly\u201d&nbsp;transition and align with net-zero goals. However, this isn\u2019t the case.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Southeast Asian countries and banks should seek a more objective comparison between renewables and the proposed energy transition technologies. Otherwise, clean energy benefits, like portfolio risk reduction, falling costs, higher energy independence and the advancement of net-zero goals, might go under the radar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A carbon lock-in situation is the last thing Southeast Asian banks and countries need.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Recent guidelines on transition technologies for Asia, influenced by Japanese energy policies, promote CCUS and ammonia co-firing in the power sector. As a result, they risk derailing the decarbonisation efforts of SEA countries and the financing institutions investing in transition technologies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":36075,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":true,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[354,15],"tags":[477,544],"hashtags":[],"class_list":["post-35526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-clean-energy-financing","category-features","tag-ammonia","tag-carbon-capture"],"acf":{"custom_author_name":"","article_pdf_file":{"ID":35539,"id":35539,"title":"The Deficiencies of the Japan-Led Guidelines For Energy Transition Technologies","filename":"The-Deficiencies-of-the-Japan-Led-Guidelines-For-Energy-Transition-Technologies.pdf","filesize":484196,"url":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/The-Deficiencies-of-the-Japan-Led-Guidelines-For-Energy-Transition-Technologies.pdf","link":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/energy-transition-technologies-deficiencies-of-the-japan-led-guidelines\/the-deficiencies-of-the-japan-led-guidelines-for-energy-transition-technologies\/","alt":"","author":"14","description":"","caption":"The Deficiencies of the Japan-Led Guidelines For Energy Transition Technologies","name":"the-deficiencies-of-the-japan-led-guidelines-for-energy-transition-technologies","status":"inherit","uploaded_to":35526,"date":"2023-03-06 06:59:07","modified":"2023-03-06 06:59:15","menu_order":0,"mime_type":"application\/pdf","type":"application","subtype":"pdf","icon":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-includes\/images\/media\/document.png"},"poll_vote":0,"show_in_lastest_from_the_region":"0","order":"","short_desc":"Recent guidelines on transition technologies for Asia, influenced by Japanese energy policies, promote CCUS and ammonia co-firing in the power sector. As a result, they risk derailing the decarbonisation efforts of SEA countries and the financing institutions investing in transition technologies."},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35526"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35526\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36075"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35526"},{"taxonomy":"hashtags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hashtags?post=35526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}