{"id":68311,"date":"2025-09-18T06:10:47","date_gmt":"2025-09-18T06:10:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/?p=68311"},"modified":"2025-09-18T06:10:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T06:10:52","slug":"how-trumps-tariffs-are-rewriting-asias-clean-energy-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/how-trumps-tariffs-are-rewriting-asias-clean-energy-future\/","title":{"rendered":"How Trump\u2019s Tariffs Are Rewriting Asia\u2019s Clean Energy Future"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"margin-top: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px;\" class=\"sharethis-inline-share-buttons\" ><\/div>\n<p>US President <strong>Donald Trump\u2019s tariffs<\/strong> on imports from Asia are rippling across the region, disrupting solar supply chains, reshaping energy policies and redrawing trade maps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/c5ypxnnyg7jo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">19% tariff<\/a> now applies to imports from Thailand, Malaysia, Cambodia, Pakistan, Indonesia and the Philippines. Vietnam and China face higher rates \u2014 20% and 30% respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-lowest-tariff-on-singapore-while-highest-on-india-due-to-russian-oil-imports\"><strong>Lowest Tariff on Singapore While Highest on India<\/strong> <strong>Due to Russian Oil Imports<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Singapore secured the lowest among ASEAN nations at 10%. India, however, was hit hardest, with tariffs reaching 50%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On solar panels, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.trade.gov\/final-affirmative-determinations-antidumping-and-countervailing-duty-investigations-crystalline\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">duties<\/a> are even steeper. US imports from Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam now carry tariffs ranging from 14% to more than 3,000%, threatening to unravel years of cost reductions in renewable energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The blow is especially severe for India, where 90% of solar module exports head to the US. With tariffs cutting off that lifeline, analysts warn the country could see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/sustainability\/climate-energy\/us-tariffs-worsen-india-solar-panel-glut-domestic-bidding-slows-2025-08-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">a supply glut as early as 2026<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Compounding the problem is cost. According to a Reuters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/sustainability\/climate-energy\/us-tariffs-worsen-india-solar-panel-glut-domestic-bidding-slows-2025-08-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">report<\/a> referencing Mercom data, Indian modules made with Chinese cells are 48% more expensive than Chinese-made products, and those built entirely with Indian cells are 143% more expensive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-donald-trump-s-tariff-are-shutting-down-factories-in-thailand-and-vietnam\"><strong>Donald Trump&#8217;s Tariff are Shutting Down Factories in Thailand and Vietnam<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Factories in Thailand and Vietnam \u2014 once major suppliers to the US \u2014 are already <a href=\"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/us-tariffs-on-southeast-asia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">shutting down<\/a>, relocating supply chains and laying off workers. Many producers are now looking to <a href=\"https:\/\/financialpost.com\/pmn\/business-pmn\/tariffs-deliver-blow-to-dented-southeast-asian-solar-exports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">move to other regions<\/a> where production costs and tariffs are relatively lower, such as the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-pressure-to-buy-american-natural-gas\">Pressure To Buy American Natural Gas<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As part of its tariff strategy, the Trump administration has pushed Asian nations to buy more US fossil fuels, particularly liquefied natural gas (LNG). Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Indonesia and India have all been pressed to sign long-term deals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indonesia, despite pledging to retire fossil fuel plants by 2040, agreed to import USD <a href=\"https:\/\/indonesiabusinesspost.com\/4837\/markets-and-finance\/indonesia-asked-to-exercise-caution-in-15-billion-u-s-oil-gas-import-plan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">15 billion<\/a> worth of US oil and gas. Thailand, too, has committed to an additional USD <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/thailand-plans-import-more-us-lng-over-next-5-years-says-minister-2025-04-16\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">600 million<\/a> in American LNG over the next five years, even as it pursues net-zero targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Japan\u2019s largest power generator, JERA, signed 20-year contracts for up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jera.co.jp\/en\/news\/information\/20250612_2184\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">5.5 million<\/a> metric tonnes annually starting around 2030. Vietnam, meanwhile, cut tariffs on US LNG from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/asia\/vietnam-says-cut-tariffs-several-us-products-2025-03-26\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">5% to 2%<\/a> to encourage imports. Both nations have pledged to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But critics warn the strategy risks locking Asia into costly, outdated infrastructure. \u201cTrump has put pressure on a seeming plethora of Asian trading partners to buy more US LNG,\u201d Tim Daiss, founder of the APAC Energy Consultancy, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.euronews.com\/business\/2025\/07\/18\/trumps-tariff-pressure-pushes-asia-toward-us-lng-deals-but-at-what-cost\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">told Euronews<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Japan, he noted, had already bought so much gas that it was cancelling projects and offloading the excess. \u201cNot good for Southeast Asia&#8217;s sustainability goals,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-are-fossil-fuels-really-cheap-in-asia\"><strong>Are Fossil Fuels Really Cheap in Asia?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Fossil fuels often appear cheap in Asia thanks to government subsidies. Indonesia and Malaysia keep gasoline and diesel prices low, while India subsidises cooking gas. China also supports coal and oil production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the real price tag is far higher. The International Monetary Fund estimates Asia accounts for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/-\/media\/Files\/Publications\/WP\/2023\/English\/wpiea2023169-print-pdf.ashx?\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">largest share of global fossil fuel subsidies<\/a> \u2014 both explicit and hidden \u2014 meaning taxpayers ultimately pay for the health costs of air pollution, environmental degradation and climate impacts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Volatility adds another layer of risk. Countries like Japan, South Korea and much of Southeast Asia import nearly all their oil and gas, leaving them vulnerable to global price swings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-renewable-energy-seeks-growth-at-home\"><strong>Renewable Energy Seeks Growth at Home<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>For policymakers, LNG offers short-term energy security, but long-term economics are shaky. According to Zero Carbon Analytics, LNG dependence <a href=\"https:\/\/zerocarbon-analytics.org\/archives\/energy\/it-is-unclear-if-lng-imports-can-guarantee-southeast-asias-energy-security\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">exposes countries<\/a> to price shocks and currency risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, analysts see opportunity. With US tariffs shutting Southeast Asian solar firms out of their biggest market, excess capacity may be redirected into local renewable energy projects. Lower-cost Chinese cleantech equipment <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reccessary.com\/en\/news\/us-tariffs-could-accelerate-asean-energy-transition\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">could also flood the region<\/a>, speeding up adoption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe tariffs and trade war are likely to accelerate the energy transition in Southeast Asia,\u201d Ben McCarron, managing director at Asia Research &amp; Engagement, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/environment\/2025\/05\/04\/energy\/solar-southeast-asia\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">told Japan Times<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, climate activists argue that US tariffs won\u2019t meaningfully dent China\u2019s clean tech dominance. Instead, they warn, the move will isolate Washington and raise costs for American consumers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe renewables trade had already significantly shifted away from the United States, even before Trump\u2019s tariffs, with most wind and solar equipment manufactured in China,\u201d global climate justice group 350.org said in a <a href=\"https:\/\/350.org\/press-release\/press-release-analysis-shows-trumps-tariffs-will-not-stop-the-renewables-transition-but-they-will-drive-up-the-cost-of-living-even-further\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">statement<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cOnly 4% of Chinese clean tech exports actually go to the US \u2014 in a trade sector where sales volume grew by about 30% last year, this makes the US merely a footnote, not a global player.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-regional-realignments-china-india-and-asean\"><strong>Regional Realignments<\/strong> <strong>&#8211; China, India and ASEAN<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The fallout is also nudging countries toward closer cooperation. India and China are showing signs of warming ties, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcnews.com\/world\/asia\/india-looks-mend-ties-china-trumps-tariffs-push-away-us-rcna227183\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">visiting Beijing<\/a> for the first time in seven years after Washington doubled tariffs on Indian goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some experts believe ASEAN nations must seize this moment to strengthen collective resilience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile there are no quick fixes, a couple of reasonable pathways would be to deepen intra-ASEAN trade and investment and expand ASEAN-GCC cooperation,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/eastasiaforum.org\/2025\/08\/27\/asean-unity-cracks-under-trump-tariff-pressure\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">said William J. Jones<\/a>, assistant professor of international relations at Thailand\u2019s Mahidol University International College.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He cautioned, however, that \u201cASEAN leaders need to get their collective acts together quickly or face being taken advantage of individually again.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US tariffs on Asian imports are rippling through the region, destabilising solar supply chains, reshaping energy policies and prompting a regional realignment as countries seek to shield their markets. With duties ranging from 10% to 50% and soaring solar tariffs in Southeast Asia, analysts warn of supply gluts, factory closures and mounting cost pressures as many Asian governments push for a faster transition to renewables. The policy moves risk locking in costly infrastructure. The tariffs could accelerate a regional pivot toward homegrown solar and regional trade cooperation, even as critics say the costs will fall hardest on consumers and climate goals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":45,"featured_media":68322,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[525],"tags":[],"hashtags":[],"class_list":["post-68311","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geopolitics"],"acf":{"custom_author_name":"","article_pdf_file":false,"poll_vote":0,"manage_the_date":"global","show_in_lastest_from_the_region":"0","order":"","short_desc":"US tariffs on Asian imports are rippling through the region, destabilising solar supply chains, reshaping energy policies and prompting a regional realignment as countries seek to shield their markets. With duties ranging from 10% to 50% and soaring solar tariffs in Southeast Asia, analysts warn of supply gluts, factory closures and mounting cost pressures as many Asian governments push for a faster transition to renewables. The policy moves risk locking in costly infrastructure. The tariffs could accelerate a regional pivot toward homegrown solar and regional trade cooperation, even as critics say the costs will fall hardest on consumers and climate goals."},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68311","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/45"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68311"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68311\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68612,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68311\/revisions\/68612"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68322"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68311"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68311"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68311"},{"taxonomy":"hashtags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/energytracker.asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hashtags?post=68311"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}